Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility in traditional markets impacting crypto sentiment
AI updated 7/2/2026, 7:46:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 35% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,734,105
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Bitcoin above 61,200 USDT on July 2, 2024, at 5 AM ET shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, indicating balanced expectations between bullish and bearish outcomes. The resolution hinges on Binance's BTC/USDT closing price at the specified time.
Bitcoin could surpass 61,200 USDT if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Federal Reserve signal or increased institutional adoption. Positive regulatory news in major markets like the U.S. or EU could also drive momentum. Short-term technical breakouts above resistance levels may accelerate upward movement.
Bitcoin may fail to reach 61,200 USDT if macroeconomic headwinds persist, including persistent inflation or hawkish Fed policy. Regulatory crackdowns or negative sentiment in traditional markets could suppress demand. Technical resistance near current levels might cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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