This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Regulatory shocks or policy changes
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:46:29 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,000 on June 27 at 8AM ET shows a neutral probability of 50%, reflecting balanced expectations. The resolution hinges on Binance's 1-hour candle close, with no clear directional bias in the short term.
Bitcoin could surge above 61,000 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Federal Reserve signal or increased institutional adoption. Positive sentiment from ETF flows or a broader crypto market rally could also drive the price higher.
Bitcoin may fail to breach 61,000 if regulatory uncertainty escalates or macroeconomic headwinds persist, such as persistent inflation or a hawkish Fed stance. A broader market downturn or profit-taking after recent rallies could also cap gains.
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Bitcoin above 61,000 on June 27, 8AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
