Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Exchange-specific price manipulation on Binance
Calibrated 100% · raw 4550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:15:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
-45.5
Opportunity
38.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,075,451
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4550.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low 4.50% probability that Bitcoin's BTC/USDT close price will exceed 60,600 at 6AM ET on June 28, indicating strong bearish sentiment. The resolution depends solely on Binance's BTC/USDT hourly candle close, not cross-exchange data.
Bitcoin could surge above 60,600 if macroeconomic optimism (e.g., Fed rate cut expectations) or institutional adoption triggers a strong rally. Short-term momentum from whale movements or spot ETF inflows could also push prices higher closer to the resolution time.
A sustained bearish trend, regulatory shocks, or macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data, risk-off sentiment) may keep Bitcoin below 60,600. Technical resistance around key levels could further suppress upward movement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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