This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Binance-specific price manipulation risks
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:18:23 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market shows a 50% probability of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 60,400 at 6PM ET on June 26, reflecting balanced expectations with no clear directional bias. The 1-hour candle resolution via Binance introduces short-term volatility risks but aligns with standard crypto market practices.
Bitcoin could surpass 60,400 if macroeconomic sentiment improves (e.g., Fed rate cut expectations, ETF inflows) or if technical resistance levels are broken. Short-term momentum from institutional adoption or geopolitical developments may also drive prices higher.
A rejection below 60,400 could occur if macro headwinds persist (e.g., hawkish Fed stance, regulatory uncertainty) or if profit-taking emerges near resistance. Bearish technical signals (e.g., RSI divergence) or exchange liquidations could exacerbate downside pressure.
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Bitcoin above 60,400 on June 26, 6PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 51%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
