Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty (e.g., U.S. crypto legislation, SEC actions)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:46:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,686,084
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a 50% probability that Bitcoin's price on Binance will close above $60,000 at 8 PM ET on June 29, reflecting neutral market sentiment with no clear directional bias. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and macroeconomic factors influencing crypto markets.
Bitcoin could surge above $60,000 if institutional demand increases due to favorable regulatory news, a spot ETF approval, or a macroeconomic shift favoring risk assets. A breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $58,000–$60,000 range) could trigger a momentum-driven rally, especially if altcoins also show strength.
Bitcoin may fail to surpass $60,000 if broader market sentiment sours due to geopolitical tensions, a stronger-than-expected Fed policy stance, or negative regulatory developments. A rejection at resistance or a sudden sell-off in global equities could push prices back below $60,000.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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