Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty (e.g., U.S. crypto policy shifts)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:45:39 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
82%
ORYN Consensus
82%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,281,374
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 78-84
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors Bitcoin closing above $59,600 on June 28 at 5PM ET, with an 81.5% probability. This reflects strong bullish sentiment in the near-term crypto market, likely driven by recent price momentum and macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin's recent rally above $59,000, coupled with sustained institutional interest and potential ETF inflows, supports a breakout above $59,600. Short-term technical indicators (e.g., RSI, moving averages) also suggest upward momentum, reducing resistance at this level.
A sudden shift in macroeconomic sentiment (e.g., Fed policy hawkishness, regulatory shocks) or profit-taking after recent gains could push Bitcoin below $59,600. External risks like exchange liquidity issues or geopolitical tensions may also trigger a reversal.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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