Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected macroeconomic shocks (e.g., inflation resurgence, banking sector instability)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:45:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,138,944
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Bitcoin price prediction market for June 28, 12PM ET, shows a neutral probability (50%) for BTC/USDT closing above $58,400. This reflects balanced market sentiment with no clear directional bias at the current juncture.
Bitcoin could surge above $58,400 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Fed pivot, sustained institutional adoption, or positive regulatory clarity in major markets like the U.S. or Asia. A breakout in altcoin markets or renewed risk-on sentiment may also propel BTC higher.
Bitcoin may fail to reach $58,400 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, such as persistent inflation, delayed Fed rate cuts, or regulatory crackdowns in key markets like China or South Korea. A broader crypto market downturn or miner capitulation could further suppress prices.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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