This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High volatility in BTC/USDT pair leading up to resolution
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:30:54 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
51%
ORYN Consensus
59%
Signal Score
+8.0
Opportunity
5.4
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a 60.50% probability that Bitcoin will close above $58,000 on June 26 at 8PM ET, based on Binance BTC/USDT data. The market reflects moderate bullish sentiment in the short term but remains sensitive to volatility and external shocks.
Bitcoin could surpass $58,000 due to sustained institutional demand, positive macroeconomic signals (e.g., Fed dovishness), or renewed retail FOMO. A breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $57,000–$58,000) could trigger short-term momentum and attract leveraged long positions.
A pullback below $58,000 may occur if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., hawkish Fed, inflation data) or regulatory uncertainty dampen sentiment. Profit-taking after recent rallies or a broader risk-off shift in traditional markets could also cap gains.
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Bitcoin above 58,000 on June 26, 8PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 51% while ORYN AI estimates 59%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
