Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: insufficient_match_history_data
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
No Direct Relationship
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Leo Raquillet in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Topo” if Marko Topo wins set 2. It will resolve to “Raquillet” if Leo Raquillet wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Set 2 winner between Marko Topo and Leo Raquillet is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match history and data on both players. The resolution hinges on set-level outcomes, which are inherently volatile in tennis predictions.
Marko Topo could emerge victorious in Set 2 if he leverages superior serving performance or exploits Raquillet's weaker backhand, particularly on clay courts where Topo has shown recent form. A strong start in the first set may psychologically advantage Topo in the second.
Leo Raquillet may dominate Set 2 if his baseline consistency and endurance outlast Topo's, especially if Raquillet adapts tactically to Topo's game style. Past head-to-head records (if any) or recent tournament performances could favor Raquillet.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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