Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 2850% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 5:00:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
19%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
+28.5
Opportunity
18.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,802,691
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 2850.0¢
Entry: 16-22
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Martinez and Eduardo Ribeiro in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Martinez' if Tomas Martinez advances against Eduardo Ribeiro. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Ribeiro' if Eduardo Ribeiro advances against Tomas Martinez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Quito tennis match between Tomas Martinez and Eduardo Ribeiro shows a near-even split, with Martinez slightly favored at 47.50%. The resolution is contingent on ATP Tour official sources, with no clear dominant player emerging from available data.
Tomas Martinez may capitalize on home advantage or higher ATP ranking, leading to his advancement. Potential factors include Martinez's form in South American clay courts or Ribeiro's injury history reducing his performance.
Eduardo Ribeiro could leverage superior grass-court experience or recent tournament success to defeat Martinez. External factors like weather disruptions or scheduling conflicts may also favor Ribeiro.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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