Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond the 7-day window
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:15:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
31%
ORYN Consensus
31%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,027,578
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 28-34
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Henri Squire in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Henri Squire. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squire' if Henri Squire advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Brasov tennis match between Keegan Smith and Henri Squire shows Henri Squire as the favored outcome with a 69.50% implied probability. The resolution conditions are clearly defined, with walkovers or unresolved matches defaulting to 50-50.
Keegan Smith has a 30.50% chance to win, which could materialize if he outperforms expectations on clay courts or if Henri Squire underperforms under pressure. Smith's recent form, head-to-head records, or external factors like weather conditions could favor an upset.
Henri Squire's 69.50% probability reflects strong market confidence, likely due to superior rankings, recent performance, or home-court advantage (if applicable). Factors like injury, fatigue, or unexpected strategic advantages for Squire could solidify this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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