Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or withdrawal pre-match (walkover resolution)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:17:11 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
96%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-45.5
Opportunity
29.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4550.0¢
Entry: 92-98
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Nuno Borges in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Jannik Sinner vs. Nuno Borges at Wimbledon ATP is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty in player performance and match conditions. The outcome hinges on factors such as form, surface suitability, and potential match dynamics.
Jannik Sinner's bull case is supported by his elite ranking, grass-court experience, and recent ATP success, which could favor him in a high-pressure Wimbledon setting. A dominant serve and aggressive baseline play may tilt the odds in his favor.
Nuno Borges' bear case centers on Sinner's higher seed and historical performance on grass, where Borges has limited experience. Fatigue from a long season or injury could also disrupt Sinner's momentum, creating an upset opportunity.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
