Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, scheduling conflicts)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:30:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Dominic Stephan Stricker in the Troyes, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sharipov" if Marat Sharipov wins by 2 or more sets than Dominic Stephan Stricker, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Stricker." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Sharipov (-1.5) vs Stricker (+1.5) is perfectly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal perceived chances of Sharipov winning by two sets or Stricker winning outright. The handicap structure favors Stricker, but no clear favorite emerges due to limited head-to-head data and uncertainty around player form.
Sharipov's aggressive baseline play and clay court experience could dominate Stricker, particularly if the match extends to five sets. Stricker's inconsistency on slower surfaces may lead to unforced errors, allowing Sharipov to secure the required two-set margin.
Stricker's superior athleticism and recent form on hard courts (adjusted for clay) may outweigh Sharipov's experience. A quick three-set victory for Stricker would trigger the market's resolution to 'Stricker,' despite the handicap.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
