Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match abandonment or cancellation
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:16:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Dominic Stephan Stricker in the Troyes, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Sharipov vs. Stricker Over/Under 23.5 games is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting no clear consensus on the likely match duration. The resolution hinges on whether the total games played reach or exceed 24, with tiebreaks counting as single games.
A high-scoring match with aggressive baseline play or extended rallies could push the total games over 23.5, favoring the 'Over' outcome. Stricker's known endurance and Sharipov's recent form suggest potential for a lengthy contest, especially in best-of-three sets.
A swift match with quick service games or dominant serving could result in fewer than 24 games, favoring the 'Under' outcome. Tight tiebreaks or early retirements would also skew the total downward. Both players' recent performances indicate possible efficiency in closing matches.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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