Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:35 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Andres Santamarta and Federico Cina in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Santamarta vs. Cina match Over/Under 23.5 games is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on match length. The market's neutrality aligns with the inherent uncertainty in tennis match outcomes, particularly in early-round Challenger events.
A higher-scoring match could result from both players adopting aggressive baseline or serve-and-volley styles, leading to extended rallies and more games played. Slower court surfaces (e.g., clay) or favorable weather conditions (e.g., mild temperatures) may also contribute to longer match durations.
A lower-scoring match is likely if both players employ defensive strategies, such as high-percentage play or frequent net approaches, reducing rally length. Fast surfaces (e.g., hard court) or extreme weather (e.g., high heat) could shorten points and accelerate match completion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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