Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delay_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:46:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Johan Alexander Rodriguez and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Rodriguez” if Johan Alexander Rodriguez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Almeida” if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set winner between Johan Alexander Rodriguez and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear favorite. The outcome is highly dependent on match conditions and potential delays or cancellations.
Rodriguez could win the first set if he starts strong, capitalizing on Almeida's potential early-game vulnerabilities or adapting better to Quito's high-altitude conditions, which may favor his playing style.
Almeida might win the first set if Rodriguez underperforms or if Almeida's baseline game dominates early, particularly if Rodriguez struggles with fatigue or altitude adjustments in the opening stages.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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