This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Oliver Tarvet in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key risk: Potential match cancellations or walkovers
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:19:01 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Oliver Tarvet in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the Wimbledon ATP match between Arthur Rinderknech and Oliver Tarvet is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear favorite. The resolution criteria heavily favor match outcomes, with walkovers or cancellations defaulting to 50-50.
Arthur Rinderknech could be favored due to higher ATP rankings (Rinderknech: ~#60, Tarvet: ~#120), surface preference (both grass-specialized but Rinderknech has slightly better grass court results), or momentum from recent performances leading into Wimbledon.
Oliver Tarvet may gain traction if Rinderknech underperforms in grass tournaments or suffers an injury, while Tarvet’s lower ranking could be offset by underdog dynamics or unexpected form. External factors like weather delays or walkovers could also skew the market.
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Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Oliver Tarvet is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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