Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:45:59 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Cosme de Ravel in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sharipov" if Marat Sharipov wins by 2 or more sets than Cosme de Ravel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ravel." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a balanced expectation between Marat Sharipov winning by at least two sets (-1.5 handicap) and Cosme de Ravel winning outright or by one set (+1.5 handicap). The 50% probability suggests no clear favorite based on available data.
Sharipov wins by two sets or more due to superior form, surface advantage, or Ravel's fatigue/injury. Recent ATP Challenger performances or head-to-head dominance could favor Sharipov.
Ravel wins outright or by one set, overcoming Sharipov's handicap. Factors like home advantage (if applicable), Sharipov's inconsistency, or Ravel's recent upswing in form could drive this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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