Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:16:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme de Ravel and Marat Sharipov in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Ravel vs. Sharipov tennis match set 2 games over/under 10.5 is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty due to limited match data and external factors.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) could materialize if both players engage in an aggressive baseline rally, favoring longer rallies and higher game counts. Weather conditions or venue specifics in Troyes may also encourage a faster-paced match.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) may occur if either player dominates with quick serves or unreturnable shots, leading to a shorter set. External delays (e.g., rain) or tactical adjustments could truncate the set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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