Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match cancellation or postponement due to unforeseen circumstances
Calibrated 100% · raw 5700% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:15:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
22%
ORYN Consensus
79%
Signal Score
+57.0
Opportunity
48.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,156,807
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5700.0¢
Entry: 18-24
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Nunez and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Quito, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Nunez' if Daniel Nunez advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Daniel Nunez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida over Daniel Nunez in their upcoming Quito tennis match, with a current probability of 78.50% for Almeida and 21.50% for Nunez. The market reflects a strong betting preference for Almeida based on perceived skill or form advantages.
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favored due to superior recent performance, higher ATP rankings, or better head-to-head records against Daniel Nunez. Betting volume suggests confidence in Almeida's ability to advance past Nunez in the match.
Daniel Nunez could pull off an upset if he demonstrates exceptional form, exploits Almeida's weaknesses, or benefits from external factors like weather conditions or Almeida's potential fatigue. The 21.50% probability indicates some market skepticism about Almeida's dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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