Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:30:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
44%
ORYN Consensus
42%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 41-47
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Corentin Moutet in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Giron" if Marcos Giron wins by 2 or more sets than Corentin Moutet, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Moutet." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Corentin Moutet (+1.5 handicap) at 56%, implying a higher probability of him either winning outright or losing by only 1 set. Marcos Giron (-1.5) is priced at 44%, suggesting a narrow path to victory by 2+ sets.
Giron’s recent form (strong clay-court performances) and higher ATP ranking (50 vs Moutet’s 78) could justify a dominant win. Moutet’s inconsistent results on grass may not translate to a 2-set differential. Pre-match injuries or fatigue could also favor Giron.
Moutet’s left-handed game and grass-court experience (despite lower ranking) may neutralize Giron’s advantage. Wimbledon’s unpredictable conditions (weather delays, upsets) could lead to a 50-50 resolution if the match is incomplete. Giron’s past struggles in five-set matches may limit his ability to win by 2+ sets.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
