Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected weather delays
Calibrated 100% · raw 3550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:00:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
-35.5
Opportunity
27.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,857,861
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3550.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Haita and Lautaro Midon in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Haita" if Stefan Haita wins by 2 or more sets than Lautaro Midon, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Midon." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Lautaro Midon (+1.5) over Stefan Haita (-1.5) in their tennis match, with a 14.50% probability assigned to Haita winning by 2+ sets. The resolution hinges on the final set difference, with a 50-50 split in case of non-completion, cancellation, or delay beyond the threshold.
Stefan Haita could outperform expectations due to recent form, head-to-head dominance, or Midon's potential fatigue/injury. A strong serving game or clay-court advantage (if applicable) may tilt the odds in Haita's favor, leading to a 2+ set victory.
Lautaro Midon may exceed predictions by leveraging home advantage (if Brasov is his home court), superior endurance, or Haita's inconsistency. Midon winning by 1 or fewer sets would resolve the market in his favor, aligning with the 85.50% implied probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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