Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: lack_of_public_performance_data
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:18:13 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Franco Roncadelli in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Meza" if Alvaro Guillen Meza wins by 2 or more sets than Franco Roncadelli, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Roncadelli." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Meza (-1.5) vs Roncadelli (+1.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to insufficient public data on the players' head-to-head or recent form. The handicap requires Meza to win by 2+ sets, adding complexity to the resolution criteria.
Meza's market probability could rise if recent form suggests dominance in best-of-3 or best-of-5 sets, particularly on similar surfaces. A strong clay-court performance history or recent upsets against higher-ranked opponents would favor Meza covering the handicap.
Roncadelli's probability may increase if Meza has a history of underperforming in high-pressure matches or struggling against left-handed opponents (if applicable). External factors like injury or fatigue near the match date could also shift odds toward Roncadelli.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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