Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:18:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,296
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Andrej Nedic in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mayot” if Harold Mayot wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nedic” if Andrej Nedic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Mayot vs Nedic's first set winner is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite between the two players. The resolution hinges on the outcome of the first set, with ties or match cancellations defaulting to a 50-50 split.
Harold Mayot's bull case rests on his potential to dominate early, leveraging his serve or baseline game to secure the first set. If Nedic struggles with consistency or match fitness, Mayot could capitalize on early momentum.
Andrej Nedic's bear case assumes Mayot underperforms or Nedic adapts tactically to exploit weaknesses. Nedic's clay-court experience (Brasov) could favor his baseline play, increasing his chances of winning the first set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
