Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:16:46 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Anton Matusevich in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hemery" if Calvin Hemery wins by 2 or more sets than Anton Matusevich, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matusevich." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Hemery (-1.5) vs Matusevich (+1.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting balanced expectations for the outcome. The handicap setup implies a close match, with Hemery needing a two-set advantage to win the market.
Hemery’s bull case hinges on his superior clay-court performance historically and potential fatigue or injury to Matusevich, who has a less consistent record. A strong serve or early break could propel Hemery past the handicap threshold.
Matusevich’s bear case assumes Hemery underperforms under pressure or Matusevich capitalizes on his aggressive baseline play, potentially winning by a single set and failing to meet the handicap. External factors like weather or scheduling could also disrupt Hemery’s rhythm.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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