Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution threshold
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:01:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,757
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Faurel" if Thomas Faurel wins by 2 or more sets than Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Marcondes." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split between Thomas Faurel (-1.5) and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes (+1.5) winning by a margin of two sets or more. The 50% probability reflects a lack of clear dominance in historical or pre-match data.
Faurel wins by 2+ sets due to superior form, surface advantage, or Marcondes' potential fatigue/injury. Recent ATP Challenger results or head-to-head favor Faurel, suggesting a higher likelihood of his victory margin.
Marcondes outperforms expectations, either through a dominant performance or Faurel's underperformance. External factors like weather delays or match postponement could skew the outcome toward a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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