Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:17:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,007
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Thomas Faurel in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Marcondes” if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes wins set 2. It will resolve to “Faurel” if Thomas Faurel wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Set 2 Winner: Marcondes vs Faurel' is currently evenly split, indicating no clear favorite between the two players. The 50% probability reflects the lack of dominant form or recent performance data favoring either competitor.
Marcondes could win set 2 due to his potential clay-court proficiency, as the Troyes event is likely played on clay (common for Challenger tournaments in Europe). If Marcondes has a strong serve or baseline game, he may outlast Faurel in a longer set.
Faurel might be favored due to his higher ATP ranking or recent form, suggesting he could dominate Marcondes in a straight-set victory. If Faurel has a superior second-serve return or aggressive playstyle, he could quickly close out the set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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