Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Lack of public data on player form or rankings
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:01:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
962,126
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Thomas Faurel in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Troyes tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Thomas Faurel shows an even 50% probability for each player, indicating no clear favorite. The market is neutral due to lack of available data on player form, rankings, or head-to-head history.
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes has a strong chance if he is in better form, has a favorable head-to-head record, or is playing on a surface he excels in. His recent performance in lower-tier tournaments could also favor him.
Thomas Faurel may be favored if he holds a higher ATP ranking, has recent success against Marcondes, or has a stronger track record in similar-level tournaments. His experience in clay courts (if applicable) could also work in his favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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