Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:30:40 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,014,275
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Manoj Dhamne Manas and Ioannis Xilas in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Ioannis Xilas. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This prediction market reflects a highly uncertain tennis match outcome between Manoj Dhamne Manas and Ioannis Xilas, with equal probability assigned to both players. The resolution criteria introduce multiple pathways to a 50-50 outcome, reducing the market's predictive clarity.
Manoj Dhamne Manas could win if he leverages home advantage or superior form, particularly if Ioannis Xilas underperforms or faces early match pressure. A strong grass or hard-court performance (depending on tournament surface) may favor Manas, who could capitalize on Xilas's potential fatigue from prior rounds.
Ioannis Xilas may prevail if he demonstrates greater experience or consistency, especially on clay courts (common in French tournaments). Manas's potential lack of match fitness or Xilas's tactical adaptability could tilt the odds in Xilas's favor, particularly if the match extends to multiple sets.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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