Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 11:00:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
36%
ORYN Consensus
36%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,603,243
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 32-38
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Quito, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Quito tennis match between Alan Magadan and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida shows a 35.50% probability of Alan Magadan winning, with the remainder favoring Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. The match is scheduled for July 3, 2026, and resolution depends on official ATP Tour outcomes.
Alan Magadan's 35.50% probability may reflect his recent form, head-to-head advantage, or home-court-like familiarity in Quito. If he has shown strong clay-court performance or has a psychological edge, bettors may see upside potential.
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida's higher implied probability (64.50%) could stem from his ranking, recent results, or surface advantages. If he is the higher-ranked player or has a strong track record on similar courts, the bear case for Alan Magadan gains weight.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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