Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay due to external factors (e.g., weather, scheduling conflicts)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:31:03 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
62%
ORYN Consensus
62%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,460
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 59-65
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Eliakim Coulibaly in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Pavel Lagutin (62%) in the Troyes tennis match against Eliakim Coulibaly, reflecting a slight edge in predicted performance. The resolution hinges on standard tennis match outcomes, with 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, or walkovers.
Pavel Lagutin is favored due to his higher ATP ranking, recent form, or head-to-head dominance over Coulibaly, suggesting a likely victory. External factors like home-court advantage (if applicable) or fatigue on Coulibaly's part could further bolster Lagutin's chances.
Eliakim Coulibaly may outperform expectations due to underdog momentum, Lagutin's potential injury or fatigue, or superior grass-court adaptability (if the match is on grass). Unexpected upsets in lower-tier matches could also shift sentiment against Lagutin.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.