Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation due to weather or external factors
Calibrated 100% · raw 3600% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:30:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
32%
ORYN Consensus
68%
Signal Score
+36.0
Opportunity
28.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 3600.0¢
Entry: 29-35
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
27 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Billy Harris in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Khachanov" if Karen Khachanov wins by 3 or more sets than Billy Harris, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Harris." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Billy Harris (+2.5) over Karen Khachanov (-2.5) with a 31.50% probability, indicating a higher likelihood of Harris winning by 3 or more sets or Khachanov failing to meet the handicap. The handicap implies Khachanov must win by a significant margin to resolve favorably.
Karen Khachanov's strong clay-court performance and recent form suggest he could dominate Billy Harris, especially if Harris is untested at Wimbledon. A 6-foot-6-inch serve-and-volley style could exploit Harris's baseline game, achieving the required 3-set margin.
Billy Harris's higher ATP ranking and potential grass-court adaptability make him the favorite. Khachanov's inconsistent form on grass and Harris's big-serving game could prevent Khachanov from winning by the required margin, favoring Harris.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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