Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond the 7-day threshold
AI updated 7/2/2026, 6:00:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,718,032
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 10.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Kennedy and Yosuke Watanuki in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Kennedy' if Jack Kennedy advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Jack Kennedy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Yosuke Watanuki is nearly balanced at 50.1%, reflecting minimal perceived advantage between the two ATP Tour players. The resolution conditions heavily favor a standard match outcome over edge cases like walkovers or cancellations.
Jack Kennedy could be favored due to recent form, head-to-head dominance, or surface preferences favoring his game style. A strong serve or baseline game might tilt the odds in his favor, especially on hard courts typical of Cary.
Yosuke Watanuki may have an edge due to Kennedy's inconsistent form, Watanuki's grass-court proficiency (if applicable), or external factors like travel fatigue. Home advantage or crowd support could also play a role in a neutral venue.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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