Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4855% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:00:35 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-48.5
Opportunity
31.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,748,613
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4855.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaichi Uchida and Jack Kennedy in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Uchida" if Kaichi Uchida wins by 2 or more sets than Jack Kennedy, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kennedy." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Kaichi Uchida (-1.5) vs Jack Kennedy (+1.5) shows a near-neutral probability (0.50%) with Uchida favored to win by 2 or more sets. The outcome hinges on Uchida's performance margin, given Kennedy's handicap.
Uchida's recent form, higher ATP ranking (likely top 100 vs Kennedy's top 200), and clay-court proficiency (if applicable) support a 2+ set victory. Home advantage (if Cary is near his base) and head-to-head dominance could further favor Uchida.
Kennedy's potential upswing in form, Uchida's inconsistent performance in tight matches, or external factors like fatigue/injury could negate the handicap. Kennedy's experience in Challenger finals may also reduce Uchida's margin of victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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