Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement beyond resolution thresholds
Calibrated 100% · raw 650% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:00:58 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
56%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-6.5
Opportunity
5.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,296
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -650.0¢
Entry: 53-60
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Andres Andrade in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Brasov tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Andres Andrade is evenly split, reflecting equal odds of either player advancing. The resolution rules account for various match outcomes, including cancellations, walkovers, and incomplete matches, ensuring a balanced probability distribution.
Maks Kasnikowski may be favored due to recent form, head-to-head records, or surface advantages on the Brasov court. A strong serve or aggressive baseline play could tilt the odds in his favor. External factors like Andrade's fatigue or injury history could further support Kasnikowski's advancement.
Andres Andrade could be the underdog in this matchup if Kasnikowski demonstrates superior clay-court performance, given Brasov's likely surface. Andrade's historical struggles against left-handed opponents or in high-pressure situations might also weigh against him. Unexpected external disruptions, such as weather delays, could favor Andrade if they disrupt Kasnikowski's rhythm.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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