Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement due to rain or scheduling conflicts
Calibrated 100% · raw 300% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:45:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
68%
ORYN Consensus
65%
Signal Score
-3.0
Opportunity
2.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,015,505
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -300.0¢
Entry: 65-71
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Felix Gill in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Jodar” if Rafael Jodar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gill” if Felix Gill wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Rafael Jodar is favored to win the first set against Felix Gill in their Wimbledon ATP match, with a market probability of 64.50%. The outcome hinges on Jodar's historical performance on grass courts and Gill's consistency under pressure.
Jodar's strong serve-and-volley game and prior success on grass courts (e.g., 2025 Wimbledon quarterfinalist) suggest he has a tactical and physical advantage. Gill, while improving, has less experience in high-stakes grass-court matches, making Jodar the likely winner of the first set.
Gill's recent form shows resilience in five-set matches and a higher win rate against left-handed opponents, which could neutralize Jodar's grass-court strengths. Fatigue or injury (e.g., Gill's 2025 Wimbledon withdrawal) could also disrupt Jodar's dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
