Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond the 7-day threshold
Calibrated 100% · raw 1145% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:45:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
83%
ORYN Consensus
72%
Signal Score
-11.4
Opportunity
8.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,073,491
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1070.0¢
Entry: 79-85
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
18 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Giles Hussey and William Manning in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giles Hussey' if Giles Hussey advances against William Manning. This market will resolve to 'William Manning' if William Manning advances against Giles Hussey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Giles Hussey (71.55%) against William Manning in their scheduled tennis match on June 29, 2026. The outcome hinges on player performance, match conditions, and potential disruptions.
Giles Hussey is favored due to his higher market probability, suggesting stronger perceived performance, recent form, or head-to-head advantages. If Hussey maintains consistency or Manning underperforms, the bull case for Hussey strengthens.
William Manning could overcome the odds if external factors (e.g., injury, fatigue) or tactical advantages favor him. A walkover or retirement scenario would also shift the resolution to 50-50, reducing Hussey's advantage.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
