Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 1600% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:15:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
30%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
+16.0
Opportunity
12.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,274,469
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1600.0¢
Entry: 27-33
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
15 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Heredia and Eduardo Ribeiro in the Quito, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Heredia' if Samuel Heredia advances against Eduardo Ribeiro. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Ribeiro' if Eduardo Ribeiro advances against Samuel Heredia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Quito tennis match between Samuel Heredia and Eduardo Ribeiro shows a slight bearish sentiment with Heredia at 46% probability of winning. The market is highly sensitive to match-specific outcomes due to its binary resolution structure.
Samuel Heredia has a viable path to victory if he leverages his recent form, surface adaptability, or psychological edge over Ribeiro. External factors like weather conditions or travel fatigue could also favor Heredia's chances.
Eduardo Ribeiro may overcome the odds if he exploits Heredia's weaknesses, such as inconsistent serve performance or mental lapses during critical points. Tournament dynamics or scheduling conflicts could also disrupt Heredia's preparation.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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