Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/27/2026, 11:15:58 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Gustavo Heide and Federico Agustin Gomez in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heide" if Gustavo Heide wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Agustin Gomez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Gomez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Heide (-1.5) vs Gomez (+1.5) is currently at a neutral 50% probability, indicating no clear favorite. The handicap suggests a near-even matchup, with Heide requiring a 2-set margin to win the market.
Heide's odds benefit if he is perceived as the stronger player with a higher likelihood of winning by 2+ sets, possibly due to form, surface preference, or head-to-head dominance. A recent winning streak or clay-court proficiency (if applicable) could bolster this case.
Gomez's odds improve if Heide is injury-prone, inconsistent, or lacks the stamina for a 2-set margin. External factors like fatigue from prior matches or unfavorable conditions could also favor Gomez, even if Heide wins the match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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