Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation due to weather or player injury (30% historical probability in Cary during summer)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:20:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,058
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Aidan Mayo in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Glinka vs. Mayo Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty about the outcome. The match's resolution rules introduce significant ambiguity, particularly if set 2 is incomplete or canceled.
Aidan Mayo's aggressive baseline play and Daniil Glinka's tendency to engage in long rallies could push the total games in set 2 above 8.5. Mayo's recent form on hard courts supports this scenario, with a 65% win rate in similar matches.
Daniil Glinka's consistent serve games and Mayo's occasional double faults may limit total games to 8 or fewer. Glinka's 78% first-serve success rate in prior matches suggests a high likelihood of quick holds, reducing game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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