Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 2250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 5:16:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
68%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
-22.5
Opportunity
16.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,027,578
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2250.0¢
Entry: 65-71
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Ioannis Xilas in the Troyes, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Ioannis Xilas. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Kilian Feldbausch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Ioannis Xilas with a 55.5% implied probability, suggesting he is perceived as the stronger contender against Kilian Feldbausch in this ATP Tour match. The resolution rules introduce multiple contingencies that could lead to a 50-50 outcome, increasing uncertainty.
Kilian Feldbausch could win if his recent form, head-to-head dominance, or surface adaptability outweighs Ioannis Xilas's higher ranking. Late-stage injuries or underperformance by Xilas may shift momentum toward Feldbausch, especially if the match extends to three sets.
Ioannis Xilas's higher ATP ranking and experience likely favor him, particularly on clay courts where his game style excels. Feldbausch's lack of recent top-tier performances or potential fatigue from prior matches could undermine his chances, reinforcing Xilas's favoritism.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.