Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 3500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:01:10 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
85%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-35.0
Opportunity
22.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
962,552
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3500.0¢
Entry: 82-88
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Samuele Pieri in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Kilian Feldbausch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Troyes tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Samuele Pieri is evenly split at 50%, reflecting a high degree of uncertainty due to limited available data on their head-to-head or recent form.
Kilian Feldbausch could be favored if he demonstrates superior form in recent ATP Challenger events, as he may have a slight edge in current rankings or surface-specific performance. External factors like home advantage (if applicable) or recent coaching improvements could also tilt the odds in his favor.
Samuele Pieri might be favored if he has shown stronger performance in the lead-up to the match, particularly in clay court tournaments, as the match is scheduled for Troyes (a clay court event). Injury concerns or fatigue for Feldbausch could also work in Pieri's favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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