Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:20:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Philip Sekulic in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Ellis” if Blake Ellis wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sekulic” if Philip Sekulic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set winner between Blake Ellis and Philip Sekulic is evenly split, reflecting no clear favorite. The neutral 50% probability indicates equal perceived chances of either player winning the first set.
Blake Ellis could win the first set if he demonstrates superior form, consistency, or surface adaptability, particularly if Sekulic struggles with early-game pressure or fatigue. A strong serving performance or favorable tiebreak dynamics may favor Ellis.
Philip Sekulic may be favored if he capitalizes on Ellis's weaknesses, such as slower court coverage or vulnerability to aggressive play. External factors like weather conditions or pre-match preparation could also disadvantage Ellis.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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