Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond the 7-day window
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:01:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
74%
ORYN Consensus
73%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,902
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 70-76
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Staeheli/Zahraj and Merino/Ribero in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Staeheli/Zahraj' if the team of Staeheli/Zahraj advances against Merino/Ribero. This market will resolve to 'Merino/Ribero' if the team of Merino/Ribero advances against Staeheli/Zahraj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Staeheli/Zahraj with a 73% probability to win the Troyes doubles match against Merino/Ribero. The market reflects strong confidence in the former team's ability to advance, though resolution depends on match completion and official ATP Tour sources.
Staeheli/Zahraj's 73% probability suggests superior form, recent performance, or head-to-head dominance over Merino/Ribero. Potential factors include stronger grass-court adaptability (if Troyes is on grass) or Merino/Ribero's injury concerns or fatigue from prior matches.
Merino/Ribero's 27% implied probability indicates either a competitive matchup or external risks (e.g., Staeheli/Zahraj's unexpected underperformance, Merino/Ribero's recent upswing, or favorable draw dynamics). A walkover or tie would resolve this market at 50-50.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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