Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen_injury_before_match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:21:02 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,788
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Soto/Zeballos and Heredia/Urrea in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Soto/Zeballos” if Soto/Zeballos wins the first set. It will resolve to “Heredia/Urrea” if Heredia/Urrea wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set winner in the Quito tennis match between Soto/Zeballos and Heredia/Urrea is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on head-to-head dynamics, current form, and potential match conditions.
Soto/Zeballos could dominate if their recent clay-court performances and doubles chemistry outweigh Heredia/Urrea's experience. A strong serve or early break opportunities may favor the South American duo in the first set.
Heredia/Urrea may prevail if their veteran experience and tactical adaptability counter Soto/Zeballos' youthful energy. Weather disruptions or fatigue in the first set could swing momentum toward the Argentine pair.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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