Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond the 7-day window, leading to a 50-50 resolution
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:21:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Nam/Niklas-Salminen and Shimizu/Watanabe in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nam/Niklas-Salminen" if Nam/Niklas-Salminen wins by 2 or more sets than Shimizu/Watanabe, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Shimizu/Watanabe." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match between Nam/Niklas-Salminen (-1.5) and Shimizu/Watanabe (+1.5) shows an even split, indicating no clear favorite in a handicap scenario where Nam/Niklas-Salminen must win by 2 sets to resolve as the winner.
Nam/Niklas-Salminen could outperform expectations by winning decisively (e.g., 6-0, 6-0 or 6-1, 6-1), leveraging strong form or favorable conditions to cover the -1.5 handicap and secure the market resolution.
Shimizu/Watanabe may win outright or lose narrowly (e.g., 6-4, 6-4 or 6-3, 6-3), failing to meet the 2-set margin required for Nam/Niklas-Salminen to win the market, thus favoring Shimizu/Watanabe at +1.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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