Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:46:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Serna/Ribeiro and Bertran/Mbithi in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Serna/Ribeiro” if Serna/Ribeiro wins set 2. It will resolve to “Bertran/Mbithi” if Bertran/Mbithi wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Set 2 winner between Serna/Ribeiro and Bertran/Mbithi is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on the match's progression, with a 50-50 resolution if set 2 is not completed or the match is canceled.
Serna/Ribeiro could win set 2 if they leverage superior grass-court experience or strong serve-and-volley play, given their historical performance on similar surfaces. A dominant first-set win by Serna/Ribeiro may psychologically advantage them in set 2.
Bertran/Mbithi might prevail in set 2 if they exploit weaknesses in Serna/Ribeiro's baseline game or capitalize on clay-court adaptability, given the Quito Challenger's surface. Fatigue or injury to Serna/Ribeiro post-set 1 could tilt odds in Bertran/Mbithi's favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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