Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player withdrawal or injury before/during the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 1200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:16:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
89%
ORYN Consensus
77%
Signal Score
-12.0
Opportunity
9.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,512
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1200.0¢
Entry: 86-92
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Serna/Ribeiro and Bertran/Mbithi in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Serna/Ribeiro' if the team of Serna/Ribeiro advances against Bertran/Mbithi. This market will resolve to 'Bertran/Mbithi' if the team of Bertran/Mbithi advances against Serna/Ribeiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Serna/Ribeiro to win the Quito doubles match with a 76.50% probability, indicating strong confidence in their victory. The resolution conditions are clearly defined, with specific outcomes for cancellations, walkovers, and delays.
Serna/Ribeiro are favored due to their higher ATP rankings, recent form, and head-to-head advantage against Bertran/Mbithi. Their partnership dynamics and court adaptability in clay conditions (Quito is played on clay) further support their odds.
Bertran/Mbithi could pull off an upset if Serna/Ribeiro face fitness issues, poor serving games, or unforced errors during critical points. External factors like weather disruptions or referee decisions may also skew outcomes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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