Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:23:41 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,788
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ricca/Zormann and Navarro/Hernandez in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Ricca/Zormann” if Ricca/Zormann wins the first set. It will resolve to “Navarro/Hernandez” if Navarro/Hernandez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set winner in the Ricca/Zormann vs. Navarro/Hernandez tennis match shows no clear favorite, with a 50% probability assigned to each team. The lack of bias suggests even odds between the competing pairs.
Ricca/Zormann could win the first set if they leverage strong serving games or exploit Navarro/Hernandez's weaker backhand, particularly if Ricca's net play dominates. A fast-paced surface or indoor conditions may favor their aggressive style.
Navarro/Hernandez may prevail if they disrupt Ricca/Zormann's rhythm with deep baseline rallies or exploit Zormann's inconsistency under pressure. Fatigue or travel delays could also impact Ricca/Zormann's performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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