Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:21:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Leroux/Manning and Isaro/Poonacha in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Leroux/Manning" if Leroux/Manning wins by 2 or more sets than Isaro/Poonacha, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Isaro/Poonacha." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis doubles match Leroux/Manning (-1.5) vs Isaro/Poonacha (+1.5) is perfectly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting no clear favorite under the given handicap. The market's resolution hinges on a margin of victory of at least 2 sets by Leroux/Manning, otherwise Isaro/Poonacha wins the bet.
Leroux/Manning's experience and higher seeding could advantage them in a best-of-three match, where a 2-set margin is plausible. If one player (e.g., Leroux) is dominant, the handicap (-1.5) may not significantly impact the outcome.
Isaro/Poonacha's +1.5 handicap implies they are favored in close matches, making Leroux/Manning's path to a 2-set win difficult. If the match goes to a deciding set, the handicap swings the resolution to Isaro/Poonacha.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
